Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate (U5MR) for Syria from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in forecasting under
five mortality rate. ANN model projections suggest that annual U5MR will
initially increase from around 26.6 deaths per 1000 live births in 2021 to 34
deaths per 1000 live births in 2025 and then decrease to 22 deaths per 1000
live births in 2030.Therefore, we encourage the Syrian government to address
all the major factors that affect the quality of maternal and child healthcare
program in the country.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 497-500