Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate (U5MR) for Romania from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and model evaluation statistics
indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in forecasting U5MR.
ANN model projections revealed that annual U5MR will hover around 6 deaths per
1000 live births over the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage the
government of Romania to design strategies that will maintain under five
mortality below 25 deaths per 1000 live births.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 434-437