Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate (U5MR) for Tunisia from 1962 to 2020to predict future trends of
U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in forecasting under
five mortality rate. ANN model forecast results indicate thatU5MR will hover
around 16 deaths per 1000 live births throughout the out of sample period.
Therefore, we encourage the Tunisian government to address all the challenges
that affect the successful implementation of the 3rd sustainable development
goal (SDG3) in order to keep under-five mortality under
control.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 517-520