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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Tracking Haiti’s Future Progress towards Achieving Substantial Reduction of Under Five Mortality By 2030

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweThabani NYONIIndependent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 6 No 7 (2022): Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 | Pages: 274-278

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 18-08-2022

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.607057

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Abstract
This study uses annual time series data on under five mortality rate for Haiti from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residual and forecast evaluation criteria indicate that the applied Holt’s linear model is stable in forecasting under five mortality rate in Haiti. Optimal values of smoothing constants α and β are 0.2 and 0.1 respectively based on minimum MSE. The double exponential smoothing model projections revealed that annual U5MR will decline but still remain high over the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage the government of Haiti to focus on channeling more resources to the maternal and child health (MNCH) program to ensure availability of adequate medical supplies and staff especially in the rural areas.  The government should address all the major factors that significantly contribute to under five mortality.
Keywords

Exponential smoothing, Forecasting, U5MR


Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, “Tracking Haiti’s Future Progress towards Achieving Substantial Reduction of Under Five Mortality By 2030” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, pp 274-278, July 2022. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.607057

Licence Copyright (c) 2026 International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology creative common licence This work is licensed under Creative common Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 Internation Licence
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