Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study
uses annual time series data on under five mortality rate (U5MR) for Kenya from
1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030.
Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria indicate that the applied model is
stable in forecasting U5MR. The ANN (12, 12, 1) model projections indicate that
U5MR will remain around 42 deaths per 1000 live births throughout the out of
sample period. Therefore, we implore the Kenyan government to allocate more
resources to the maternal and child health (MNCH) program in order to address
all the health challenges that contribute to high numbers of under five deaths
especially in the rural areas.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 313-316