Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study
uses annual time series data on under five mortality rate for Madagascar from
1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals
and forecast evaluation criteria indicate that the applied model is stable in
forecasting U5MR in Madagascar. The ANN (12, 12, 1) projections indicate that
U5MR will remain high throughout the out of sample period. Hence, we implore
health authorities in Madagascar to allocate more resources to the maternal and
child health (MNCH) program to ensure availability of medical supplies and
medical staff at all levels of healthcare especially in the rural areas.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 340-343