Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate (U5MR) for South Sudan from 1960 to 2020 to predict future
trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation
criteria indicates that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in
forecasting U5MR. ANN model projections suggest that annual U5MR will remain
very high throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage the
South Sudanese government to channel more resources to the maternal and child
health program to ensure availability of medical supplies, equipment and
healthcare professionals.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 475-478