Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate for Sri Lanka from 1960 to 2021 to predict future trends of U5MR
over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria
indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in forecasting under
five mortality rate. ANN model projections indicate that U5MR will continue to
decline throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, health authorities in
Sri Lanka should continue supporting the maternal and child healthcare (MNCH)
program in order to improve the quality of maternal and child healthcare
services.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 479-482