Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data on under five
mortality rate (U5MR) for the United Kingdom (UK) from 1960 to 2020 to predict
future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast
evaluation criteria indicate that the applied the ANN (12, 12, 1) model is
stable in forecasting U5MR. ANN model projections revealed that annual U5MR
will hover around 4.5 deaths per 1000 live births throughout the out of sample
period. Therefore, health authorities in the UK must continue providing
financial support to the maternal and child health (MNCH) program and
addressing the various challenges being faced by socially disadvantaged ethnic
minority groups.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 533-536