Under Five Mortality Will Remain Under Control in the United States: Evidence From Artificial Neural Networks

Abstract

This study uses annual time series data on under five mortality rate (U5MR) for the USA from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of U5MR over the period 2021 to 2030. Residuals and forecast evaluation criteria indicate that the applied ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable in forecasting under five mortality rate. The ANN model projections suggested thatU5MR will consistently remain below 10 deaths per 1000 live births throughout the out of sample period. Hence, heath authorities in the USA should continue providing financial support to the maternal and child health program (MNCH) in order to keep under five mortality under control.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 6, Issue 7, July 2022 pp. 541-544

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2022.607121

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