Adolescent Fertility Projection for Kuwait Using Holt’s Linear Method
Abstract
This research article uses
annual time series data of adolescent fertility rate for Kuwait from 1960 to
2020 to predict future trends of adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021
to 2030. The study utilizes Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The
optimal values of smoothing constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.9 respectively
based on minimum MSE. The results of the study indicate that annual adolescent
fertility is expected to remain low throughout the forecast period. Therefore,
we encourage authorities in Kuwait to address local challenges that contribute
to adolescent fertility and continuously enforce laws that protect the rights
of women and girls.
Country : Zimbabwe
1 Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI
ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 7, Issue 2, February 2023 pp. 153-158
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