Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This research paper uses annual time series data of
adolescent fertility rate for Malaysia from 1960 to 2020 to predict future
trends of adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study
utilizes Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of
smoothing constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.3 respectively based on minimum MSE.
The results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility is expected
to slightly increase in the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage
authorities in Malaysia to continue supporting adolescent health programs and
address local factors that drive adolescent fertility.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 7, Issue 2, February 2023 pp. 195-199