Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data of adolescent
fertility rate for Sierra Leone from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study utilizes
Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing
constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.1 respectively based on minimum MSE. The
results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility will continue to
decline throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage
authorities in Sierra Leone to relentlessly enforce laws that protect sexual
and reproductive health rights of women and girls, promote girl child
education, fund empowerment programs for youths and provide accessible and
affordable adolescent health services across the whole country.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 7, Issue 2, February 2023 pp. 344-348