International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Assessing the Feasibility of Ending Adolescent Births in Yemen Using the Double Moving Average Method

Abstract

Tracking future trends of various health phenomena is very crucial for policy-making and allocation of adequate resources to public health interventions. This research paper utilizes annual time series data on adolescent fertility rate for Yemen from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The model evaluation criteria indicate that the applied Double moving average model (DMA) is stable in forecasting for adolescent fertility rate. The results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility will continue to fall throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we implore authorities in Yemen to scale up campaigns against sexual abuse of women and girls, enforce laws that safeguard sexual and reproductive health rights of women and girls and offer affordable and accessible adolescent health services.

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 7, Issue 2, February 2023 pp. 486-491

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2023.702081

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