Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
This study uses annual time series data of adolescent
fertility rate for Liberia from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of
adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study utilizes
Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing
constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.4 respectively based on minimum MSE. The
results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility rate will continue
to decline but remain very high throughout the out of sample period. Therefore,
we encourage policy makers in Liberia to address socio-cultural, economic and
geographic factors that significantly contribute to teenage pregnancies. There
is need to enforce laws that protect the rights of women and girls, promote
girl child education and establish adolescent friendly health facilities that
will provide affordable comprehensive sexual and reproductive health services.
Country : Zimbabwe
IRJIET, Volume 7, Issue 2, February 2023 pp. 172-177