International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

Impact Factor (2025): 6.9

DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Prediction of Adolescent Fertility for Maldives Using Holt’s Linear Method

Abstract

This research article uses annual time series data of adolescent fertility rate for Maldives from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The study utilizes Holt’s linear exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing constants α and β are0.9 and0.3 respectively based on minimum MSE. The results of the study indicate that annual adolescent fertility will remain low throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage authorities in Maldives to continue providing funding for adolescent health services and address local problems that lead to teenage pregnancies. 

Country : Zimbabwe

1 Smartson. P. NYONI2 Thabani NYONI

  1. ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  2. Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

IRJIET, Volume 7, Issue 2, February 2023 pp. 200-204

doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2023.702032

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References

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