International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET International Open Access, Monthly, Peer Reviewed, Reputed Journal ISSN (online): 2581-3048

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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Using ARIMA Model Forecasts in the Formulation and Implementation of Appropriate Neonatal Healthcare Strategies in France

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweThabani NYONIIndependent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 7 No 8 (2023): Volume 7, Issue 8, August 2023 | Pages: 271-275

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 25-09-2023

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2023.708038

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Abstract
This study uses annual time series data on neonatal mortality rate (NMR) for France from 1960 to 2019 to predict future trends of NMR over the period 2020 to 2030. Unit root tests have shown that the series under consideration is an I (2) variable. The optimal model based on AIC is the ARIMA (0,2,3) model. The ARIMA model predictions indicate that neonatal mortality will slightly increase from 2.8 to around 3.5 deaths per 1000 live births by the end of 2030. Hence, this study encourages policy makers in France to identify and address local neonatal health challenges in order to keep neonatal mortality under control.
Keywords

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Citation of this Article

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, “Using ARIMA Model Forecasts in the Formulation and Implementation of Appropriate Neonatal Healthcare Strategies in France” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 7, Issue 8, pp 271-275, August 2023. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2023.708038

Licence Copyright (c) 2026 International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology creative common licence This work is licensed under Creative common Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 Internation Licence
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