Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
Coal-Fired
Steam Power Plant (PLTU) Rembang is an important power plant in the Central
Java electricity system. Like other coal-fired steam power plants, fuel cost is
the most significant expense when operating the PLTU Rembang. During the
2019-2021 period, the average fuel cost was 73.88% of total costs. One of the
ways to reduce fuel costs is by improving the accuracy of fuel demand planning.
Fuel procurement planning is very dependent on the projected amount of
electricity sales from power plant, which is largely determined by the power
plant's Capacity Factor (CF). However, PLTU Rembang does not have any CF
prediction modeling. This research developed and compared four prediction
models: random forest regression, support vector regression, multiple polynomial
regression, and multiple linear regression. Based on the comparison of
validation from the four prediction model with MAPE and R-squared parameters,
the multiple linear regression models is the best model, with the lowest MAPE
of 7.83% and the highest R-squared of 0.8814. This multiple linear regression
model can be used to predict the CF of PLTU Rembang in the future so that fuel
demand planning is more accurate.
Country : Indonesia
IRJIET, Volume 8, Issue 4, April 2024 pp. 51-56