Impact Factor (2025): 6.9
DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET
Stock
market prediction is a complex and dynamic challenge that has long intrigued researchers
and traders. With advancements in Machine Learning (ML), data-driven methods
have shown promise in forecasting stock price movements. This research
introduces Candle Predict, an ML-based predictive model designed for the Indian
stock market.
We explore several ML models, including Random Forest Regressor, XGBoost,
and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, to analyze historical stock data
and forecast trends. Through extensive experimentation, LSTM networks proved
most effective in capturing temporal dependencies and delivering accurate
predictions.
The model is trained using five key stock parameters—Open, High, Low,
Close, and Volume—sourced from Indian stock exchanges via the Yahoo Finance
API. For evaluation, we employed an 80-20 train-test split and assessed model
performance using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Results show that the LSTM
model achieves an accuracy range of 87% to 94%, making it a dependable tool for
short-term stock forecasting.
Our findings highlight the potential of deep learning techniques in
financial prediction and emphasize the unique challenges of time-series data.
Candle Predict serves as a practical and efficient solution for traders and
investors aiming to make data-driven decisions in India’s volatile stock market.
This study contributes to the field of Financial Technology (FinTech) by
demonstrating the effectiveness of ML in real-world market scenarios and
offering a robust forecasting framework tailored to emerging market conditions.
Country : India
IRJIET, Volume 9, Issue 4, April 2025 pp. 177-182